Renewal Equation
Individual Infectiousness
Infection Age
Incident Infections
Need
Test sensitivity is secondary to frequency and turnaround time for COVID-19 surveillance
Larremore et al.
Viral load represented by piecewise-linear hinge function
Test sensitivity is secondary to frequency and turnaround time for COVID-19 surveillance
Larremore et al.
Viral load represented by piecewise-linear hinge function
SIR Model
Susceptible
Infectious
Recovered
SEIR Model
Susceptible
Infectious
Recovered
Exposed
Positive test if viral load > LOD
- tested infectious population
- probability of testing positive
MPC with certainty equivalence works too well
Possible avenue to more interesting results:
Introduce second viral strain